Nearly $1.9 Billion Has Traded on the Midterms. How Close Will Kalshi and Polymarket Get?
Traders give Democrats about a 95% chance of taking the House. The Senate is a closer call, and two states have drawn almost half of Kalshi’s Senate trading.
Markets on outcomes, from elections to sport, and the platforms running them.
30 stories
Every Blockster story on Prediction markets, newest first.
Traders give Democrats about a 95% chance of taking the House. The Senate is a closer call, and two states have drawn almost half of Kalshi’s Senate trading.
Event contracts brought in $173 million in the third quarter, while Robinhood’s new blockchain helped cushion a weaker crypto trading business.
Official game data, league branding and new oversight agreements bring prediction markets deeper into basketball’s commercial business.
Tesla production and Cava foot traffic are already tradable. Kalshi’s next push with Carbon Arc groups business indicators into sector-wide bets.
Rain launches SDK v2 on Arbitrum One, giving developers and AI agents tools to build, trade, settle and resolve their own prediction markets.
Polymarket is reportedly seeking a $20 billion valuation as prediction markets attract institutional capital, exchange operators and brokerages betting on the future of information markets.
AI adoption is accelerating at both the institutional and retail level, and prediction markets are one of the first places where those trends are colliding.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup has driven record crypto prediction market volume, with Spain's historic run adding momentum across fan tokens and exchanges.
Former Pump.fun executive Kathleen Osgood has joined Pumpcade as COO to lead strategy and growth as the company prepares to launch fast-settling Solana prediction markets with the Cade Cup in Q3 2026.
Bybit has launched its Football Season 2026 campaign, giving users the chance to share up to $1 million in rewards through trading, football predictions, and point-based competitions across three tournament stages.
Pred has opened public access after generating nearly $5 million in beta trading volume, introducing live sports prediction markets and on-chain trading ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Bitget Wallet has partnered with Polymarket to bring World Cup prediction markets, AI-powered insights, and $200,000 in rewards to its 90 million users.